Análisis de las carreras del Domingo 14 de Junio

1ª Carrera: Premio San Isidro – 1200 metros

Empezamos la temporada con los «sospechosos habituales» de las carreras en línea recta en Madrid…y como siempre tenemos que destacar a los que mejor imagen nos dejaron la última temporada….

Great Prospector fue capaz de meterle en la última 4 cuerpos a Presidency, si bien entre ese día y hoy tenemos 5 kilos de diferencia…parece que el valor que traía de las islas le puede llegar para ganarse bien el pienso aquí…así que habrá que ponerlo…

Junto a él tenemos que señalar a El Guanche, que en el debut del de Anaya en España le superó con facilidad cediéndole peso y con una escala complicada…la duda es si mostrará hoy esa cara, la hierba de Madrid parece no gustarle tanto…veremos

De las islas viene también Fintas, con un valor algo inferior a Great Prospector pero con un prepa que los tiene bastante en forma…y no quiero dejar de echarle un ojo a la progresión de Virrey, que se llevó a favor de peso las dos últimas que disputó, pero que si sigue subiendo, puede tener mucho que decir

(1) Great Prospector, (3) El Guanche, (8) Virrey

2ª Carrera: Premio Manola – 1800 metros

Complicado lote de potrancas no ganadoras en el que el favoritismo se va con Dajla más por el precio que por lo demostrado en su debut en Octubre (no corre desde entonces). Habrá que buscar entrenamientos…

Pasa tres cuartos de lo mismo con Céltica, la hija de Celtic Rock medio hermana de Parsifal que debutó muy flojito en Septiembre…pero que podría mejorar…quien sí tuvo un buen debut fue la otra Celtic Rock…Highrock Blue, que hoy no contará con Fayos pero que es de las pocas que ha corrido esta temporada.

Llama la atención que Jaime se suba en Hardpia en vez de en Pitía que dio decentes valores en Otoño..habrá que hacerles caso…

Dejo para el final a la hija de Doctor Dino Lakial, que con Sousa y un prepa tan peligroso en los debuts, creo que puede tener mucho que decir hoy…en un lote con tantas incógnitas, así sumamos otra más…

(10) Lakial, (2) Dajla, (1) Céltica

3ª Carrera: Premio Teddy – 1800 metros

Pese a lo numeroso del lote, cuesta encontrar favoritos aparte de Tagual y de la pareja que presenta Arzicorreta…Baciver que hoy montará Martínez costó 26.000€ no creo que tenga problemas con los metros y se dejó ver en el debut…tiene un cajón complicadillo, pero en distancia no es tan importante…y el otro Arizcorreta es Tronio, montado por el checo y debutado con bastante calma en Diciembre en terreno pesado…comparte madre con Tremendista y María Brava, por lo que también debería llegar a la distancia…habrá que ponerlo también…

El hijo de Ketala Tagual cuenta ya con tres salidas, y en las tres ha peleado con potros que posteriormente subieron de valor, por lo que provisionalmente, parece el mayor valor del lote…

Al fallo del estos, vamos a señalar el posible petardo de Curro, debutado en Lasarte hace dos semanas, de Tupper aunque parece que la distancia le va corta o de Zibary, familia de un montón de ganadores y con Fayos a los mandos

(11) Tagual, (13) Tronío, (3) Baciver

4ª Carrera: Premio Nertal – 1600 metros

Mucho gallo en esta milla…tantos como incógnitas sobre su forma…

El máximo valor del lote es el ganador del Hispanidad Oriental, pero el año pasado no pudo superar a Noray en su reaparecida…de todos modos su prepa no suele guardarse mucho y sería muy arriesgado no contar con él hoy…

Más valor que él tuvo en las islas Buthela, que a poco que lo recuperase y viendo la forma que traen los de su prepa, debería tener mucho que decir aquí…lo mismo que Resacón, que acabó el año llevándose el Blasco pero que parece que en la milla tiene desventaja con sus rivales…

Noray como dijimos antes suele aprovechar reaparecidas, y, pese a que ya no parezca tan peligroso como otros años, cuenta con un peso lo suficientemente cómodo como para dar un susto y pagar bien…

(1) Oriental, (6) Buthela, (10) Noray

5ª Carrera: Premio Rheffissimo – 2400 metros

Si decíamos antes que hay que contar siempre esta temporada con los de E.León, en esta carrera tenemos tres…el ganador del Gladiateur Emin (que es el que elige Sousa) la ganadora del Benitez de L ugo y honradísima Most Empowered...no son los mejores por peso pero me cuesta mucho no contar con ambos…y Federico, aunque en este caso el que no se suba Borja nos hecha un poco para atrás

Por valores, los en teoría más favorecidos son Axioco (no corre desde hace caso un año tras 4 victorias seguidas) y Eminence (sin debutar en España y sin ganar desde su primera salida), pero ambos como vemos son bastante incógnita…lo mismo que el Anaya Melting Dew, con el que se va Borja y que tuvo valores en las islas para tener mucho que decir hoy…en su estreno en España anduvo lejos de ellos, pero quizá su prepa en este tiempo le ha afinado…

(1) Emin, (2) Most Empowered, (6) Eminence

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